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Forecasting of the annual yield of Arabic coffee using water deficiency PAB
Aparecido,Lucas Eduardo de Oliveira; Rolim,Glauco de Souza.
Abstract: The objective of this work was to develop agrometeorological models for the forecasting of the annual yields of Arabic coffee (Coffea arabica), using monthly water deficits (DEFs) during the coffee cycle, in important locations in the state of Minas Gerais, Brazil. For the construction of the models, a meteorological data set spanning of 18 years and multiple linear regressions were used. The models were calibrated in high- and low-yield seasons due to the high-biennial yields in Brazil. All calibrated models for high- and low-yield seasons were accurate and significant at 5% probability, with mean absolute percentage errors ≤2.9%. The minimum forecasting period for yield is six months for southern Minas Gerais and Cerrado Mineiro. In high-yield...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Coffea arabica; Agrometeorology; Climate; Forecasting; Model; Water balance.
Ano: 2018 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-204X2018001201299
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The Alderney Race: General hydrodynamic and particular features ArchiMer
Bailly Du Bois, P; Dumas, Franck; Morillon, M; Furgerot, L; Voiseux, C; Poizot, E; Mear, Y; Bennis, Anne-claire.
This study presents an overview of the main hydrodynamic features of the Alderney Race strait based on in-situ measurements and 2D hydrodynamic model simulations. The strait encompasses a large amplitude of tidal properties (tidal range and tidal wave propagation) and particularly strong currents exceeding 5 m.s-1 with associated counter currents and gyres. Variations in depth, sea bottom roughness, coastal topography and current orientation around the La Hague Cape provide access to a large variety of original hydrodynamic regimes. Some are revealed as locations with a 0.4 m drop in the mean sea level associated with strong average currents. A resonance effect associated with the offshore currents can also be observed close to the coasts. The "St Martin...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Alderney Race; La Hague Cape; Current; Tide; Hydrodynamics; Model.
Ano: 2020 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00641/75286/75639.pdf
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Mathematical modeling of mechanical horizontal screw oil extractor CIGR Journal
BAKO, TANKO; ENYI, OBETTA SAMUEL; IMOLEMHE, UMOGBAI VICTOR.
A theory using mechanical expression was proposed from the physics of oil expression in a screw press to characterize a mathematical model. The general oil expression equation was solved for three machine parameters (choke clearances, screw shaft clearances and screw shaft speeds) which simulate the machine parameters effects in the overall screw expeller process. The mathematical model was validated by the experimental data obtained from pressing fish oil with a screw press, using regression analysis. The experimental oil extraction data was fitted to the model and the quality of fit evaluated. A good fit was indicated by correlation coefficient of 0.9983, coefficient of determination of 0.9967, absolute average percentage deviation of 4.8 %, coefficient...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Mathematical; Model; Extraction; Parameters.
Ano: 2020 URL: http://www.cigrjournal.org/index.php/Ejounral/article/view/5521
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Changements climatiques dans la mer de Barents : interactions glace-océan, formation et variabilité de la masse d'eau ArchiMer
Barton, Benjamin I.
Winter sea ice has declined in the Barents Sea and there is growing evidence that the low sea ice here coincides with cold, winter surface air temperature in Europe and Asia. Atlantic Water (AW) transported into the Barents Sea is warming and its temperature variability is correlated with variability in sea ice extent. As AW extends into the Barents Sea it is modified into a cooler, fresher water mass called BarentsSea Water (BSW). There are limited observations of BSW despite its importance in the Arctic Ocean system, leading to the question, how does the seasonal sea ice impact ocean stratification and mean flow?First, satellite observations are used to find the Polar Front, a water mass boundary between BSW and fresher Arctic Water to the north. The sea...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Barents Sea Water; Front polaire; Banquise; Satellite; Modélisation; Model; Barents Sea Water; Polar front; Sea ice; Satellite.
Ano: 2019 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00692/80424/83560.pdf
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Rejets urbains. Volet Manche - Atlantique - Site de Morlaix - Etudes sédimentologique et Bathymétrique de l' estuaire de Morlaix ArchiMer
Bassoullet, Philippe; L'Yavanc, Jacky; Guillaud, Jean-francois; Loarer, Ronan; Breton, Marguerite.
In order to increase our knowledge about sediment transport in the bay and maritime part of the River of Morlaix (Finistère), measurernènts have been perforrned on site. This report gives the granulometrical and physical parameters of the sediments as weIl as the hydrodynamics, used for a model of particulate transport in the area. The rnodel and its application will be published later
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Rejet urbain; Sédiment; Granulométrie; Hydrodynamique; Modèle de transport particulaire; Sable; Vase; Estuaire de Morlaix.; Urban wastes; Model; Sediment; Granulometry; Hydrodynamics; Sand; Mud; Sedimentary transport model; Morlaix estuary.
Ano: 1987 URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00345/45658/45293.pdf
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MODELING WORLD PEANUT PRODUCT MARKETS: A TOOL FOR AGRICULTURAL TRADE POLICY ANALYSIS AgEcon
Beghin, John C.; Matthey, Holger.
This paper presents a new partial-equilibrium, multi-market international model developed to analyze policies affecting peanut products markets. The model covers four goods (food-quality peanuts, crush-quality peanuts, peanut oil, and groundnut cake) in 13 countries/regions (Argentina, Canada, China, the EU-15, the Gambia, India, Malawi, Mexico, Nigeria, Senegal, South Africa, the United States, and Rest of World). Welfare is evaluated by looking at consumers' equivalent variation, quasi-profits in farming (peanut farming, livestock), quasi-profits in crushing, and taxpayers' revenues and outlays implied by distortions. We calibrate the model for three recent years (1999/2000, 2000/01, and 2001/02) on historical data. We illustrate the model's...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Agricultural trade policy analysis; Crush; Doha; Groundnut; Model; Oil; Peanuts; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18618
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Probability density function of the number of embryos collected from superovulated Nelore breed donors Scientia Agricola
Beltrame,Renato Travassos; Barioni,Luis Gustavo; Quirino,Celia Raquel; Dantas,Ozanival Dario.
Several models have been developed to evaluate reproductive status of cows through concentration of progesterone in milk, the effect of sex selection in the commercial production of herds and bioeconomic performance of the multiple ovulation and embryo transfer system in select herds. However, models describing the production of embryos in superovulated females have yet to be developed. A probability density function of the number of embryos collected by donors of the Nelore breed was determined. Records of 61,928 embryo collections from 26,767 donors from 1991 to 2005 were analyzed. Data were provided by the Brazilian Association of Creators of Zebu and Controlmax Consultoria e Sistemas Ltda. The probability density function of the number of viable...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Zebu; Cattle; Reproduction; Model.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0103-90162009000400003
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Interactions vagues-banquise en zones polaires ArchiMer
Boutin, Guillaume.
Sea ice, which covers most of the ocean near the poles, is a key component of the climate system. Global warming is driving its massive melting, especially in the Arctic. Where sea ice cover decreases, fetch increases leading to more energetic sea states. This means potentially enhanced wavesice interactions effects in the future. The quick evolution of sea ice extent and volume combined with the intensification of human activities in polar regions urge us to improve our understanding of waves-ice interactions.Sea ice attenuates waves. They can however propagate through it and break it far into the ice cover. Attenuation depends on ice properties such as floe size, thickness, etc. Once broken, resulting floes are more likely to drift and melt. In addition,...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Vagues; Banquise; Modélisation; Zone Marginale de Glace; Waves; Sea ice; Model; Marginal Ice Zone.
Ano: 2018 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00498/60968/64376.pdf
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MODELO DE REGLAMENTO PARA LA ADMINISTRACIÓN DE UN RASTRO MUNICIPAL A NIVEL NACIONAL AgEcon
Cabral Martell, Agustin; Aguilar Valdes, Alfredo; Alvarado Martinez, Luis Felipe; Alvarado Martinez, Tomas Everardo.
They are few the rakes of the country that have the modern technology and the personnel qualified to carry out the humanitarian sacrifice as it indicates it the Federal Law of Animal Sanity. (DOF. 23-July-2007). Really the only dependence or association that he/she has had interest and he/she has been in charge of seriously of supervising that the slaughter is carried out in a humanitarian way, it is the denominated civil association ANPALPA A.C (National Association for the Application of Laws of Protection to the Animals) that has taken the initiative to introduce the methods of humanitarian sacrifice in near 400 rakes and slaughterhouses of the country; and it is unlikely that the corresponding authorities (SAGARPA and HEALTH), have not taken the...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Model; Regulation; Administration; Municipal rake; National level.; Agribusiness.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/56555
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Hydrotime model can describe the response of common bean (Phaseolus vulgaris L.) seeds to temperature and reduced water potential - doi: 10.4025/actascibiolsci.v35i2.15393 Biological Sciences
Cardoso, Victor José Mendes; Universidade Estadual Paulista; Bianconi, André; Universidade Estadual Paulista.
Germination parameters of the response to temperature and water potential from four common bean (Phaseolus vulgaris) lines based on thermal-time and hydrotime concepts were estimated to verify to what extent they can predict germination under different thermal and water conditions. The cultivars IPR Uirapuru and IAPAR 81 (drought-tolerant), and Grauna and Carioca (not tolerant) were used. The isothermal assays were performed in a temperature gradient block, and the assays with different osmotic potentials (PEG 6000) were performed in germination chambers. Seeds from drought-tolerant cultivars spent less time to germinate at supra-optimum temperatures than non-tolerant ones, and the cultivar Uirapuru (drought-tolerant) germinated faster in response to...
Palavras-chave: Carioca; Grauna; IAPAR 81; Uirapuru; Germination; Model.
Ano: 2013 URL: http://periodicos.uem.br/ojs/index.php/ActaSciBiolSci/article/view/15393
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Adaptive Capacity and Traps Ecology and Society
Carpenter, Stephen R; University of Wisconsin-Madison; srcarpen@wisc.edu; Brock, William A.; University of Wisconsin-Madison; WBrock@ssc.wisc.edu.
Adaptive capacity is the ability of a living system, such as a social–ecological system, to adjust responses to changing internal demands and external drivers. Although adaptive capacity is a frequent topic of study in the resilience literature, there are few formal models. This paper introduces such a model and uses it to explore adaptive capacity by contrast with the opposite condition, or traps. In a social–ecological rigidity trap, strong self-reinforcing controls prevent the flexibility needed for adaptation. In the model, too much control erodes adaptive capacity and thereby increases the risk of catastrophic breakdown. In a social–ecological poverty trap, loose connections prevent the mobilization of ideas and resources...
Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Insight Palavras-chave: Adaptation; Allostasis; Model; Poverty trap; Resilience; Rigidity trap; Transformation.
Ano: 2008
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A Theoretical Approach to Tourism Sustainability Ecology and Society
Casagrandi, Renato; Dipartimento di Elettronica e Informazione, Politecnico di Milano; casagran@elet.polimi.it; Rinaldi, Sergio; CIRITA, Politecnico di Milano; rinaldi@elet.polimi.it.
This paper shows that it is difficult, if not impossible, to formulate policies that guarantee that tourism can be maintained for a long time without severely impacting on the environment. The analysis is purely theoretical and is based on very simple and general assumptions about the interactions between the three main components of the system: the tourists, the environment, and the capital. These assumptions are encapsulated in a so-called minimal model, used to predict the economic and environmental impact of any given policy. This paper is of value for three reasons. First, it introduces the approach of minimal descriptive models in the context of tourism, which has traditionally been dominated by the use of black-box econometric models. Second, the...
Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Reports Palavras-chave: Bifurcation analysis; Environment; Model; Nonlinear dynamics; Sustainability; Tourism.
Ano: 2002
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Modélisation de la bioaccumulation de métaux traces (Hg, Cd, Pb, Cu et Zn) chez la moule, Mytilus galloprovincialis, en milieu méditerranéen ArchiMer
Casas, Stellio.
Monitoring coastal contamination of trace metals using bivalve molluscs as quantitative bioindicators is widely used in many international monitoring programs. The bioaccumulation of metal within an organism results from the interaction between physiological (growth, loss of weight, absorption, accumulation), chemical (metal concentration, speciation, bioavailability) and environmental factors (temperature, SPM, chlorophyll). By utilizing the parameters above in this study, it appears that modeling metal dynamics in marine mussels is a reliable tool. The model allows understanding the bioaccumulation process which results from the interactions between biological, chemical and environmental factors. One of the objective of this study was to couple a...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Biomonitoring; Dynamic Energy Budget; Model; Trace metals; Bioaccumulation; Mytilus galloprovincialis; Mussel; Bioindicator; Surveillance; Budget énergétique dynamique; Modèle; Métaux traces; Bioaccumulation; Mytilus galloprovincialis; Moule; Bioindicateur.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/2005/these-356.pdf
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Estimation of herbicide bioconcentration in sugarcane (Saccharum officinarum L.) Ciência Rural
Cerdeira,Antonio Luiz; Paraíba,Lourival Costa; Queiroz,Sonia Claudia Nascimento de; Matallo,Marcus Barifouse; Franco,Daniel Andrade de siqueira; Ferracini,Vera Lúcia.
Sugarcane is an important crop for sugar and biofuel production in Brazil. Growers depend greatly on herbicides to produce it. This experiment used herbicide physical-chemical and sugarcane plant physiological properties to simulate herbicide uptake and estimate the bioconcentration factor (BCF). The (BCF) was calculated for the steady state chemical equilibrium between the plant herbicide concentration and soil solution. Plant-water partition coefficient (sugarcane bagasse-water partition coefficient), herbicide dilution rate, metabolism and dissipation in the soil-plant system, as well as total plant biomass factors were used. In addition, we added Tebuthiuron at rate of 5.0kg a.i. ha-1 to physically test the model. In conclusion, the model showed the...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Herbicide; Bioconcentration factor; Plant uptake; Model; Bagasse adsorption.
Ano: 2015 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0103-84782015000400591
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A non-linear viscoelastic viscoplastic model for the behaviour of polyester fibres ArchiMer
Chailleux, Emmanuel; Davies, Peter.
In this study the macroscopic analysis proposed by Schapery has been applied to model the non-linear viscoelastic and viscoplastic behaviour of polyester fibres. First, a special non-contact extensometry method has been developed in order to measure the fibre response without affecting the behaviour of these extremely anisotropic fibres. An accelerated identification method has then been developed. This enables a unique and independent set of parameters to be determined, which separate the reversible and non-reversible mechanisms responsible for measured strains. The model prediction for an arbitrary loading sequence corresponds closely to the measured strains. The model has been applied here at the yarn level but can equally well be used to predict rope...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Viscoplastic; Viscoelastic; Polyester; Non linear; Model; Fibre.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/2005/publication-794.pdf
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DEVELOPMENT OF A MODEL TO DETERMINE THE SHELF LIFE OF YELLOW VARIETY OF CASHEW FRUIT JUICE AT NON REFRIGERATED STORAGE CIGR Journal
chikwado, ugwu kenneth.
ABSTRACTThere is an inevitable decline in quality value of ascorbic acid in storage and distribution of cashew apple juice. The quality value and maximum shelf life of yellow sample of cashew apple juice were estimated and the quality value model based on the deteriorative factors was developed.  It was discovered that balancing these factors led to satisfactory quality control of ascorbic acid degradation in cashew fruit juice during non refrigeration storage conditions and the distribution.  Data were drawn from 34 full factorial experiments conducted in three replicates with the order of the replicates randomized. A multivariate regression analysis was used for relating the variables. The results of the experiment and the model developed for yellow...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Development; Model; Shelf Life; Yellow Cashew Fruit Juice; Refrigerated Storage.
Ano: 2022 URL: http://www.cigrjournal.org/index.php/Ejounral/article/view/6325
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Assessment of the CERES-Rice model for rice production in Ibadan, Nigeria CIGR Journal
Christopher Oluwakunmi Akinbile; FUTA.
CERES-Rice model was used to simulate growth and yield of a new rice variety in Nigeria with the attention on rates of water application, one major factor that retards crop’s grain yield. The rates were full irrigation (100%ET), medium (75% ET), average (50% ET) and low (25% ET) irrigation intervals. The NEw RIce for AfriCA (acronym for NERICA) 2 variety was grown at the International Institute for Tropical Agriculture (IITA), Ibadan, Nigeria. Experimental agronomic values of parameters such as plant height, root depth, canopy shading, Leaf area index (LAI), biomass and grain yield in relation to water use were obtained and compared with simulated modelled values from CERES and the results were subjected to statistical analysis. The model predicted...
Palavras-chave: Agricultural Engineering; Soil and Water Conservation Engineering Rice; Model; Water; Simulation; Production; Food security..
Ano: 2013 URL: http://www.cigrjournal.org/index.php/Ejounral/article/view/2405
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The Sustainable Improvement and Innovation Model AgEcon
Clark, Richard A.; Timms, Janice; Parnell, Peter F.; Griffith, Garry R..
The Beef CRC's 'Sustainable Beef Profit Partnerships' (BPP) project is built around the Sustainable Improvement and Innovation (SI&I) Model – a model for the design, leadership and management of projects to achieve rapid and sustained improvement and innovation, and accelerated adoption. The model is implemented through a systemic approach to project design, and the development of a number of integrated strategies to guide the targeting of priority outcomes and work plans. The emphasis is on a sustainable project methodology such that the intended outcomes can continue to be delivered long after the Beef CRC funding is terminated. Further, there is an emphasis on rapid implementation of the process in the short-term such that outcomes can be generated...
Tipo: Article Palavras-chave: Sustainable improvement and innovation; Model; System; Strategies; Farm Management.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/121990
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Étude du comportement non-linéaire d'une colle dans un assemblage ArchiMer
Cognard, Jean-yves; Sohier, Laurent; Davies, Peter; Gineste, Bernard.
The objective of this study is to define a reliable tool for dimensioning of adhesively bonded assemblies, particularly for marine and underwater applications. A modified “Arcan” fixture, suited for the study of the behavior of bonded metal-metal assemblies, was developed in order to focus on the analysis of the behavior of the adhesive in thin films. To analyze the kinematics of the deformation of the adhesive joint non-contact extensometry techniques were employed. Thus various characteristics of the non-linear behavior of the adhesive were observed. The first results obtained for mixed assemblies (steel, aluminium, composite substrates) show similar behaviour of the adhesive using the proposed procedure. Furthermore, quality controls by DSC, and studies...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Ssemblages collés; Modélisation; Essais; Comportement non-linéaire; Composites; Adhesive bonding; Model; Tests; Non linear behaviour; Composite.
Ano: 2006 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00480/59156/61785.pdf
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Landscape Change in the Southern Piedmont: Challenges, Solutions, and Uncertainty Across Scales Ecology and Society
Conroy, Michael J; USGS Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit; conroy@forestry.uga.edu; Allen, Craig; University of Nebraska; allencr@unl.edu; Peterson, James T; USGS Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit;; Pritchard, Lowell, Jr.; Emory University; lpritc2@emory.edu; Moore, Clinton T; ;.
The southern Piedmont of the southeastern United States epitomizes the complex and seemingly intractable problems and hard decisions that result from uncontrolled urban and suburban sprawl. Here we consider three recurrent themes in complicated problems involving complex systems: (1) scale dependencies and cross-scale, often nonlinear relationships; (2) resilience, in particular the potential for complex systems to move to alternate stable states with decreased ecological and/or economic value; and (3) uncertainty in the ability to understand and predict outcomes, perhaps particularly those that occur as a result of human impacts. We consider these issues in the context of landscape-level decision making, using as an example water resources and lotic...
Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Reports Palavras-chave: Piedmont; Adaptive management; Land use; Model; Resilience; Scale; Sprawl; Uncertainty; Urbanization; Water resources.
Ano: 2003
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